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which_chickI got my registration papers for Patapsco today and she's even still alive, so that's a win. What's slightly less of a win is the other information I can get from the registration papers...
The AHA registers horses with sequential numbers. Because of this, it's pretty easy to see how many are registered every now and then by looking at the number your newly registered baby horse receives from the AHA.
So, Nick (my dead horse, GF Nile Kaia) was #556789 (and I know when she was born, 1998, because it's right there on the papers) and Patapsco is #677599. Tap was born in 2018, so twenty years after Nick. Subtracting the two registration numbers, we get 120810 for the number of registered Arabs born in the twenty years between Nick and Tap.
That's about 6040 horses per year. Okay. Seems legit. But wait, there's more.
Nick's other foal (Peake) was born 2008, so she's halfway between Nick and Patapsco. Her registration number is #639597. Oooh, more information. Now our statistics can have more granularity.
(Isn't this fun? It's fun for me.)
Subtracting Nick from Peake, we get 82808 registrations for that ten year period. (1998 to 2008) That's about 8280 horses per year for the ten year period.
Subtracting Peake from Tap, we have 38002 registrations for that ten year period. (2008 to 2018) That's 3800 horses per year for the ten year period. Wow. Quite the decline.
I don't have a finer tool than ten-year-mark because we haven't put a purebred on the ground* since Bird (2011) and he doesn't have papers. Tin does, but he was 2010, which is hardly worth getting undressed for given we already have a data point for Peake in 2008.
*We are trying to Thin The Herd. One does not Thin The Herd by breeding one's mares every year. The only reason we bred Nick for the baby Patapsco was because I figured if I didn't get a baby in 2018, the mare would be dead without me ever getting a baby I liked. It was kind of a now-or-never moment. And as we had to put the mare down in September of 2018, with a 2.5 month old foal by her side, I feel kind of vindicated about this decision.
The AHA registers horses with sequential numbers. Because of this, it's pretty easy to see how many are registered every now and then by looking at the number your newly registered baby horse receives from the AHA.
So, Nick (my dead horse, GF Nile Kaia) was #556789 (and I know when she was born, 1998, because it's right there on the papers) and Patapsco is #677599. Tap was born in 2018, so twenty years after Nick. Subtracting the two registration numbers, we get 120810 for the number of registered Arabs born in the twenty years between Nick and Tap.
That's about 6040 horses per year. Okay. Seems legit. But wait, there's more.
Nick's other foal (Peake) was born 2008, so she's halfway between Nick and Patapsco. Her registration number is #639597. Oooh, more information. Now our statistics can have more granularity.
(Isn't this fun? It's fun for me.)
Subtracting Nick from Peake, we get 82808 registrations for that ten year period. (1998 to 2008) That's about 8280 horses per year for the ten year period.
Subtracting Peake from Tap, we have 38002 registrations for that ten year period. (2008 to 2018) That's 3800 horses per year for the ten year period. Wow. Quite the decline.
I don't have a finer tool than ten-year-mark because we haven't put a purebred on the ground* since Bird (2011) and he doesn't have papers. Tin does, but he was 2010, which is hardly worth getting undressed for given we already have a data point for Peake in 2008.
*We are trying to Thin The Herd. One does not Thin The Herd by breeding one's mares every year. The only reason we bred Nick for the baby Patapsco was because I figured if I didn't get a baby in 2018, the mare would be dead without me ever getting a baby I liked. It was kind of a now-or-never moment. And as we had to put the mare down in September of 2018, with a 2.5 month old foal by her side, I feel kind of vindicated about this decision.
no subject
Date: 2019-01-15 07:02 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2019-01-15 07:28 pm (UTC)For 1978 to 1998, we had 389007 registrations, which is 19450 a year. So, numbers are totally lower than they used to be. They're a lot lower.
The decline in Arab registrations is not unique -- rather a lot of the horse industry is suffering from the same problem.
Here's a graph for several different breeds (scroll down the article) and, even though graph maker does not understand about how X axis should have consistent markings, I think you can get the general idea of what's going on.
no subject
Date: 2019-01-15 11:29 pm (UTC)