Covid-19, We Have Dropped The Ball
Mar. 13th, 2020 11:54 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
which_chickThe United States has not done a sufficient job on the containment of Covid-19. In fact, I suspect they have done a wildly insufficient and possibly criminal job. Let's go to the videotape...
So. Covid-19, the "corona virus" thing, came to the world's attention in early January 2020. There were some rumblings from the WHO and stuff, but it wasn't a super-major news story until the Chinese government shut down Wuhan. That was January 23. There were "more than 500 cases" and cases in "At least 11 countries".
The first US Case was January 21 but it was a person who'd traveled to Wuhan or whatever so no biggie. Case was in Washington State.
Jan 30th the WHO said it was a global health emergency, a level up in awareness and such. Nobody took much notice.
Jan 31, the US Government banned the entry of "most foreign nationals who had traveled to China within the last 14 days" and I was actually impressed by the proactive good sense of our relatively unimpressive administrative team.
February 4: Diamond Princess Quarantine starts.
February 7th: Dr. Li Wenliang, a Chinese doctor who had helped raise early alarm about the disease (against the government's wishes) dies.
February 9: Fatalities in China surpass SARS outbreak fatalities.
February 11: WHO says "We Shall Call It Covid-19"
February 19: Iran has two cases, both died.
February 20: S. Korea has 104 cases.
(I sold my stocks here)
February 24: Cases spike in Italy to 229, 6th death in the country
February 24: US stock markets took a dive.
February 26: First case in California with no travel history or close contact of known infection
February 29: First death in the US
March 6: Cases worldwide top 100,000
March 8: Italy puts the northern part of the country in lockdown, affecting about 16 million people. Cases in Italy are over 5800 and there are more than 230 deaths.
March 8: Confirmed cases in the US over 500.
If you look at the graphs, Italy had 470 cases on Feb. 26 and 655 on Feb. 27. Looks like 500 cases was like Feb. 26 and a half. The US is approximately twelve days behind Italy.
*****************
So I wrote this as a draft on March 8 2020. It is now March 17, 2020. How are things?
Not so good.
Italy is now at 31,506 cases and 2,503 deaths. They will likely surpass China's death toll in a week.
The US, though. Greatest blah blah. How's it going over here? 6,428 cases, 106 deaths. Italy was at this point between March 7 and March 8. So now we're ten days behind Italy.
Outlook not good.
Wash your hands.
Don't go out. Stay home.
Don't be in groups.
Don't travel.
If you can work remotely, DO work remotely.
***********************
A quick update. It is now March 26, so 9 days from when I last discussed this. We're about ten or eleven days into the president's "Fifteen Days To Slow The Spread" plan. The president is currently talking about having the US 'Open For Business' as of Easter, April 12. I don't think he means Orthodox Easter (April 19) but who knows, really.
Italy is 74,386 cases this AM and 7,503 deaths.
US is on track to lead all other countries in terms of cases by the weekend. Currently 68,581 cases and 1036 deaths.
********************
Saturday morning, March 28.
We're #1, We're #1.
US leads other countries in confirmed cases of Covid19.
As of this morning, we have 105,161 cases and 1722 deaths.
We are not leading in terms of deaths, but we're currently 6th and rising.
So. Covid-19, the "corona virus" thing, came to the world's attention in early January 2020. There were some rumblings from the WHO and stuff, but it wasn't a super-major news story until the Chinese government shut down Wuhan. That was January 23. There were "more than 500 cases" and cases in "At least 11 countries".
The first US Case was January 21 but it was a person who'd traveled to Wuhan or whatever so no biggie. Case was in Washington State.
Jan 30th the WHO said it was a global health emergency, a level up in awareness and such. Nobody took much notice.
Jan 31, the US Government banned the entry of "most foreign nationals who had traveled to China within the last 14 days" and I was actually impressed by the proactive good sense of our relatively unimpressive administrative team.
February 4: Diamond Princess Quarantine starts.
February 7th: Dr. Li Wenliang, a Chinese doctor who had helped raise early alarm about the disease (against the government's wishes) dies.
February 9: Fatalities in China surpass SARS outbreak fatalities.
February 11: WHO says "We Shall Call It Covid-19"
February 19: Iran has two cases, both died.
February 20: S. Korea has 104 cases.
(I sold my stocks here)
February 24: Cases spike in Italy to 229, 6th death in the country
February 24: US stock markets took a dive.
February 26: First case in California with no travel history or close contact of known infection
February 29: First death in the US
March 6: Cases worldwide top 100,000
March 8: Italy puts the northern part of the country in lockdown, affecting about 16 million people. Cases in Italy are over 5800 and there are more than 230 deaths.
March 8: Confirmed cases in the US over 500.
If you look at the graphs, Italy had 470 cases on Feb. 26 and 655 on Feb. 27. Looks like 500 cases was like Feb. 26 and a half. The US is approximately twelve days behind Italy.
*****************
So I wrote this as a draft on March 8 2020. It is now March 17, 2020. How are things?
Not so good.
Italy is now at 31,506 cases and 2,503 deaths. They will likely surpass China's death toll in a week.
The US, though. Greatest blah blah. How's it going over here? 6,428 cases, 106 deaths. Italy was at this point between March 7 and March 8. So now we're ten days behind Italy.
Outlook not good.
Wash your hands.
Don't go out. Stay home.
Don't be in groups.
Don't travel.
If you can work remotely, DO work remotely.
***********************
A quick update. It is now March 26, so 9 days from when I last discussed this. We're about ten or eleven days into the president's "Fifteen Days To Slow The Spread" plan. The president is currently talking about having the US 'Open For Business' as of Easter, April 12. I don't think he means Orthodox Easter (April 19) but who knows, really.
Italy is 74,386 cases this AM and 7,503 deaths.
US is on track to lead all other countries in terms of cases by the weekend. Currently 68,581 cases and 1036 deaths.
********************
Saturday morning, March 28.
We're #1, We're #1.
US leads other countries in confirmed cases of Covid19.
As of this morning, we have 105,161 cases and 1722 deaths.
We are not leading in terms of deaths, but we're currently 6th and rising.
